Some Day 1 Draft quick takes:
Browns trade down looked good, for both teams imo
Giants trade up seemed unnecessary, but was kinda cheap at least
Falcons trade up was insane. Once again the Falcons seem determined to out-crazy the rest of the league with mindblowingly unorthodox "strategy." They gave up a ton. They got someone that wasn't even best-available at position.
Most of the picks made a lot of sense. 17 off/def lineman, focusing on big dudes, was orthodox. Lots of board, solid move, gg; hence exceptions are more the negative exception
Didn't like the Bears taking a TE, although I had no issue with the quality of the player.
Bengals got an edge rusher that I think is going to be great, although with Bengals overall D struggles not sure if it will show lol
Didn't like TB going WR, i think they needed to get into the D game
Ravens got best Safety which is annoying
Doesn't seem necessary to write up a grade of every team's final results. Too many of them are B's. Most teams did Good. A couple did great, a couple barely had picks, and a couple seemingly went incomprehensible.
For those I do take a closer look at, I'm mostly looking for coherent strategies. For example, going by Best Player Available, the Eagles absolutely won. Again. One of the benefits of having an awesome roster though right? When you have no needs, its easy to just sit around and grab the best you can. Good for Howie, but not as entertaining for us. Sadly the Ravens similarly feasted
Cardinals are not in as good of a place. But they chose coherently: all D# except for one pick. TB did the same. Not complex, but not all problems are, I like it!!
Jax I think had an amazing draft. They had too many holes to fill. Therefore, they mostly filled the defensive backfield, presumably so that numbers can swarm up front. And then they slam dunked several offensive picks to round it out. Good picks and effective strategy imo.
Vegas might be another one I'll put at amazing. They appear to have feasted very well on trade back picks. I didn't like their top WR chosen as much as others, but they got multiple at several key positions, and Jeanty. Hard to hate such a thorough job of successfully addressing everything.
Seattle I'll call borderline amazing. I love a lot of their picks. It doesn't feel as coherent as I'd like however. Mark it as a wait and see, but it could prove promising.
Browns leaned into interesting. Too many holes obviously. They ignored the O-line, and built everywhere else. RISKY. It could work. The current O-L is old or broke, but top notch when working. So its a little house of cards. It could work well, or it could fall apart entirely. I don't particularly like this strategy, but it has coherency. And some of their individual picks I love. Most especially the TE Fannin; he's a perfect fit to line up with Njoku.
On its own note: I kinda like double-dipping at QBack too. Hopefully offseason testing will prevent a total carousel, but that's more for the future benefit rather than this year. Tony Dungy was a huge fan of Dillon Gabriel, but I don't know much about him beyond what I've read today.
Patriots and Colts both had a few picks I really liked, although lacking the continued flash of some of the above. Still an A to both
Denver and LAC both had particularly great defensive strategies with a hint of flash to make them A
I kind of surprisingly like what the Giants did for strategy, except for the wasted trade up to get a QB right before the rest started sliding. Where Texans are the opposite. Their strategy seemed bad, but they also picked some of the best. B's by strange routes lol
Who tanked?
Da Bears. Tripling and Quadrupling down on the things your team was best at does not mesh. If this team does well, give all credit to Ben Johnson; cause they don't seem to have a vision of what they are trying to build.
Falcons. Not entirely just because of the massive trade up. Like TB and the Cards, they also went all D#. Unlike Cards and TB, I'm less convinced that what they are building makes any sense for a coherent D# strategy. But since I don't know their current roster very well, I'm almost content to leave this in the wait and see pile... just not optimistically, given they did the same dumb shit last year
Steelers were yet another team going almost all D#. Their choices make sense but... I can't make sense of putting all your eggs in the Aaron Rogers basket. Will Howard doesn't feel like a real back up option to that, unless maybe they feel comfortable trading for Cousins or something also.
Not sure I can totally make sense of the Lions' picks either. Two offensive guards and a mostly undiscussed second round WR just seems adjacent to their needs and a low value choice respectively.
I havent found a good spot to just evaluate the trades themselves. There were so many it was a bit absurd. Makes me think there was a consistent approach to value with them from the GMs in many circumstances. Doesnt seem likely to have happened accidentally.
Derek Carr is retiring! Saints are going to be bad this year.
wow i wasnt expecting that. you could argue the Saints wouldn't have been that good even with Carr lol, but yeah going right to a B-grade rookie for a replacement does not bode well for them at all, at all
Two years ago I juggled several common draft strategies to test them. On the whole, I did not find most of them to matter (esp the "stacking" strategy mentioned several times in that link). Strength of schedule however seemed to be one of the few that rose to the top as potentially valuable. To adapt that, last year, I leaned HEAVILY on the above approach i.e. not just strength of schedule, but specifically strength of schedule during the fantasy playoffs. Only to have it be made irrelevant, when my QB got injured second week of the playoffs 5mins into the game. Because of this, I will not be leaning nearly as heavily on that approach this year. But I'm also not going to ignore it.
Last year I designed my own numerical weighting system rather than use any links like the one above. For good reason. An article from this site:
https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/
had tipped me off to an intriguing concept of "strength of rest." Basically taking a look at where teams were being run down due to too much travel, games too close together, etc. It was super intriguing and extremely valuable. I didn't like taking their numbers as presented however, because they baked in other assumptions of team strength (like the Falcons being good) that I did not buy into.
How much effort I put into it this year will probably be more based on how busy I am in Aug more than anything else. But when I saw that posted, it did make an interesting discussion point. If nothing else, Strength of Schedule is one of the few things that i could probably analyze before Aug; b/c it won't be changing significantly.
lol yall were just talking bout dis laswsuit
Anyone have knowledge of Lou Anarumo (former Bengals DC) as to his effectiveness?